Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.972905e-05 2.390726e-05 0.000028 0.000034 0.000040 0.000046 0.000054
2025-08-10 1.410700e-05 1.928701e-05 0.000025 0.000033 0.000042 0.000053 0.000065
2025-08-17 1.010689e-05 1.547813e-05 0.000022 0.000031 0.000043 0.000056 0.000073
2025-08-24 7.569926e-06 1.291343e-05 0.000020 0.000030 0.000043 0.000060 0.000081
2025-08-31 5.932260e-06 1.121028e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000045 0.000064 0.000089
2025-09-07 4.623945e-06 9.707617e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000046 0.000067 0.000097
2025-09-14 3.529804e-06 8.298497e-06 0.000016 0.000028 0.000046 0.000070 0.000103
2025-09-21 2.656191e-06 7.054780e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000046 0.000072 0.000109
2025-09-28 1.902357e-06 5.824753e-06 0.000013 0.000026 0.000045 0.000073 0.000113
2025-10-05 1.463066e-06 5.104381e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000046 0.000076 0.000119
2025-10-12 1.154708e-06 4.580068e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000047 0.000079 0.000126
2025-10-19 8.711398e-07 4.012208e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000048 0.000082 0.000133
2025-10-26 7.596793e-07 3.925615e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000052 0.000090 0.000147
2025-11-02 5.189017e-07 3.328236e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000053 0.000093 0.000155
2025-11-09 3.028251e-07 2.629498e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000052 0.000094 0.000160
2025-11-16 1.776426e-07 2.141651e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000052 0.000096 0.000166
2025-11-23 1.084933e-07 1.823799e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000052 0.000099 0.000174
2025-11-30 5.959038e-08 1.522457e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000053 0.000102 0.000182
2025-12-07 2.698569e-08 1.227182e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000053 0.000104 0.000188
2025-12-14 9.471518e-09 9.679924e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000052 0.000105 0.000193
2025-12-21 1.628902e-09 7.154630e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000051 0.000105 0.000196
2025-12-28 1.879000e-10 5.826152e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000052 0.000108 0.000203
2026-01-04 2.199433e-12 4.917277e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000053 0.000112 0.000212